FOX Sports activities Betting Analyst
It is already Week 9 of the NFL season and the divisional races and playoffs are beginning to get consideration.
We additionally know who is nice – and who stinks.
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I will wager in opposition to the groups that stink this week.
Listed here are three of my favourite performs to begin Week 9.
Washington commanders @ New England Patriots (1 p.m. ET Sunday, FOX and FOX Sports activities app)
Why are the Patriots favored over anybody within the NFL proper now?
Take out the 29-25 win over the Payments, which is considered one of two wins for the Patriots this season, they usually have been horrible. They’ve misplaced 38-3, 34-0 and 31-17.
New England continues to lose gamers this season, which will not assist the group play higher. The Pats have two wins for a purpose.
The commanders usually are not good, however they’re higher at virtually each place: offensive line, line of defense, offensive and defensive talent positions. The priority, after all, is that they do not at all times capitalize on that expertise and endure a bodily 38-31 loss to the Eagles.
However the Patriots are a flailing group with no choices for explosive scoring performs and I am comfortable to take the factors with the Commanders.
CHOOSE: Commanders (+3) lose by lower than 3 factors (or win instantly)
Los Angeles Rams @ Inexperienced Bay Packers (1 p.m. ET Sunday, FOX and FOX Sports activities app)
What did the Packers do to get three factors in opposition to the Rams? Positive, Los Angeles has been struggling currently, however that Steelers recreation was funky and the Cowboys are simply higher than the Rams.
This weekend, Los Angeles was thirteenth in DVOA, with a top-10 offense. The Packers entered the weekend twenty fifth in DVOA and after their lackluster efficiency on Sunday in opposition to Minnesota, I’d count on that quantity to stay stagnant or drop.
Did Jordan Love present he is a backup within the 24-10 loss to Vikings?
The Rams are nonetheless inside putting distance of a playoff berth and want this win after back-to-back video games. You possibly can argue that Inexperienced Bay wants this too, however the Packers additionally needed to beat the Vikings and did not come shut (24-10).
I will take the Rams.
CHOOSE: Rams (+3) to lose by 3 or fewer factors (or win instantly)
Arizona Cardinals @ Cleveland Browns (1 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)
I have been on the Cardinals fade prepare for a month, and it has been worthwhile. Arizona has been with out protection for 3 straight weeks, needing a late landing, onside kick restoration and a area purpose with lower than a minute left in opposition to the Ravens on Sunday.
Cleveland is up and down on offense with PJ Walker, however the Browns can rating. Their play-calling units Walker up for achievement and the run recreation remains to be evolving. Arizona’s protection is not superb, and I am not nervous about Walker turning the ball over.
Then again, I believe it is truthful to count on the Cardinals to have hassle transferring the ball in opposition to the Browns. Arizona’s offense hasn’t scored greater than 16 factors on the highway and this is not a recreation the place factors explode.
I like masking the Browns.
PICK: Browns (-7 at time of choose) wins by greater than 7 factors
Geoff Schwartz is an NFL analyst for FOX Sports activities. He performed eight seasons within the NFL for 5 completely different groups. He began at proper sort out for the College of Oregon for 3 seasons and was a second-team All-Pac-12 choice his senior 12 months. Comply with him on Twitter @Geoff Schwartz.
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